Vegas has San Diego as 9.5 point underdogs, which is a big spread. The moneyline has the broncos at about -400, depending where you look. That means that you would have to bet $400 on the Broncos just to win $100...so what does that mean from a % chance?
According to this chart a 9.5 point underdog has about a 20-25% chance of winning.
Other potential factors: there is a high of 20 MPH winds near Mile High Stadium which plays into San Diego's favor (i.e. possibility that Peyton's noodle arm shows its wobbly head in this game)
Of course, if Philip Rivers wears his Bolo-tie, all bets are off!
I'd say 50-50.
SD is playing like a team of destiny (Ronnie Brown runs for a 58 yard TD? Really?) and the chances of Peyton choking start high and go up every week when the playoffs come around.
If their defense can keep them in the game, I think the Chargers have a good chance.
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